The rapid financing of the AI boom through massive corporate debt issuance is creating significant stress on global financial markets. This influx of private capital forces competition with government Treasury bonds, as AI companies offer higher yields than equivalent sovereign debt, thereby pushing up long-term interest rates. While this signals strong investment demand for AI, it raises concerns about systemic risk and the potential destabilization of core bond markets. Policymakers must navigate the tension between fueling critical technological growth and maintaining stable public borrowing costs to prevent a financial crisis.
How Open-Source, Real-Time Data Can Defeat China at the Edge of Its Influence
English Summary
The article argues that the U.S. must counter China's expanding localized global influence by leveraging its technological and informational strengths. The core strategy involves harnessing open-source, real-time data (OSINT) to empower local actors, improve rapid interagency coordination, and provide evidence for counter-messaging. Policy recommendations emphasize amplifying authentic local voices, utilizing technology to monitor complex networks (like supply chains), and preparing for extreme economic contingencies, such as targeted sanctions or supply chain decoupling, to reassert U.S. leadership.
中文摘要
本文主張，美國必須透過發揮其技術和資訊優勢，來應對中國不斷擴張的在地化全球影響力。核心策略包括利用開源情報（OSINT）來賦能在地行動者、提升跨機構的快速協調能力，並提供反制訊息的證據基礎。政策建議著重於擴大真實的在地聲音、利用技術監測複雜網絡（例如供應鏈），以及為極端經濟應變（如定向制裁或供應鏈脫鉤）做好準備，從而重申美國的領導地位。
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