The Chatham House report argues that climate change represents Europe's greatest systemic security threat, citing recent extreme heatwaves, droughts, and wildfires that have caused massive economic losses, infrastructure failures, and excess deaths. These environmental shocks disrupt critical services (like energy supply) and increase vulnerability to non-conventional threats, forcing military resources to divert personnel away from traditional defense roles. To counter this, the report mandates a comprehensive security approach: treating climate adaptation as core national security spending, accelerating decarbonization to address root causes, and building robust societal resilience through coordinated civil preparedness.
Great Power Diplomacy: The Skill of Statecraft From Attila the Hun to Kissinger
English Summary
The article posits that in the current era of great-power competition, diplomacy must be understood not merely as communication, but as a sophisticated exercise in grand strategy. Historically, successful statecraft—as demonstrated by figures from Bismarck to the Byzantines—requires leaders to build complex alliances and coalitions to offset limited national capabilities. This strategic process involves restricting the operational space of adversaries while integrating diplomatic goals with both military and economic power. Consequently, the analysis stresses that mastering this comprehensive art of statecraft is increasingly vital for managing threats and maintaining stability in a fractured global order.
中文摘要
本文提出,在當前大國競爭的時代,外交不能僅被視為溝通,而必須被理解為一門複雜的「大戰略」實踐。從歷史角度來看,成功的治國方略——無論是拜斯馬克還是拜占庭帝國的典範——都要求領導人建立複雜的聯盟與集團,以彌補國家能力上的局限性。這一戰略過程涉及限制敵對方的行動空間,並將外交目標與軍事及經濟力量相整合。因此,本文分析強調,掌握這門全面的治國藝術,對於管理當前的威脅並維持碎片化的全球秩序穩定性,正變得越來越關鍵。
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1.Wildfires and extreme heat show climate change is now Europe’s biggest security threat (Chatham House)
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The article argues that despite political volatility and threats from figures like Trump, the transatlantic alliance is fundamentally robust because both the US and Europe share critical mutual interests. This bond is sustained by deep economic ties ($2T+ trade) and the shared necessity of deterring Russian aggression on NATO's eastern flank, which makes a strategic divorce highly unlikely. For policy, Europe must adopt a strategy of pragmatic engagement—working within current political realities while aggressively increasing its defense spending to build capability. While self-reliance is necessary, the analysis cautions that true strategic autonomy remains politically challenging and requires continued reliance on US military power.
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The historical trajectory of U.S.-Canada relations reveals a persistent tension between deep economic interdependence and the maintenance of national sovereignty. Key evidence includes major security pacts like NORAD, which cemented continental defense cooperation, alongside massive trade agreements such as NAFTA and the Auto Pact, which created an integrated market. However, this integration is repeatedly challenged by disputes over tariffs (Smoot-Hawley), territorial claims (Northwest Passage), and perceived loss of autonomy. Strategically, the enduring nature of these ties suggests that while friction points will persist, cooperation remains mandatory for both economies, necessitating policy frameworks that balance shared prosperity with respect for distinct national interests.