ThinkTankWeekly

The Jokowi Presidency: Indonesia’s Decade of Authoritarian Revival

Foreign Affairs | 2026-04-21 | china_indopacific

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English Summary

The analysis concludes that Jokowi's presidency delivered significant economic gains, marked by infrastructural transformation and low inflation, but at a steep democratic cost. While the administration successfully disrupted old political networks, it replaced them with new forms of cronyism and systematically weakened anti-corruption mechanisms. Crucially, the government also curtailed dissent and blocked political rivals, demonstrating a clear trend toward authoritarian consolidation. This pattern suggests that rapid state development and economic growth in developing nations may not inherently preserve democratic institutions, posing a structural risk of democratic backsliding.

中文摘要

分析總結指出,喬科維(Jokowi)的總統任期雖然帶來了顯著的經濟增長,體現為基礎設施的轉型和低通膨,但其代價卻是高昂的民主成本。儘管政府成功瓦解了舊有的政治網絡,但卻以新的裙帶關係形式取而代之,並系統性地削弱了反腐機制。更關鍵的是,政府也限制了異議聲音並阻撓政治競爭對手,展現出明顯的威權鞏固趨勢。此一模式暗示,發展中國家若追求快速的國家發展和經濟增長,並不能必然地維護民主制度,這構成了一種結構性的民主倒退風險。

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