ThinkTankWeekly

The American Military’s Coming Marathon

Foreign Affairs | 2026-06-04 | defense

Topics: China, Middle East, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Ukraine, United States

Visit original source

ThinkTankWeekly provides a curated entry and summary only. Full text and PDF remain on the publisher's website.

English Summary

The Foreign Affairs article argues that the U.S. military is entering an era of protracted, marathon-like conflicts, rather than quick, decisive victories. Recent events, particularly the ongoing war with Iran, demonstrate that modern warfare is characterized by extended engagements, resource depletion, and a shift in power dynamics favoring adversaries with access to cheaper, mass-produced weaponry like drones. The U.S. military’s reliance on fixed assets and failure to adequately invest in defenses has resulted in significant losses. To adapt, the U.S. must prioritize building stockpiles of munitions, leveraging advanced technologies, hardening bases, and fostering closer alliances – a shift from rapid, targeted operations to sustained, resilient engagement.

中文摘要

《外交事務》的文章認為,美國軍事正步入一場持久戰、類似馬拉松式的時代,而非快速、決定性的勝利。最近的事件,尤其是持續的與伊朗的戰爭,表明現代戰爭的特徵是戰事持續時間延長、資源耗盡以及敵對勢力憑藉更廉價、大量生產的武器(如無人機)而改變力量格局。美國軍事對固定資產的依賴以及未能充分投資於防禦,導致了重大損失。為了適應,美國必須優先建立彈藥庫存、利用先進技術、加固基地以及加強同盟關係——從快速、有針對性的作戰轉向持久、具有韌性的參與。

Related Entries

  1. 1.

    The rapid financing of the AI boom through massive corporate debt issuance is creating significant stress on global financial markets. This influx of private capital forces competition with government Treasury bonds, as AI companies offer higher yields than equivalent sovereign debt, thereby pushing up long-term interest rates. While this signals strong investment demand for AI, it raises concerns about systemic risk and the potential destabilization of core bond markets. Policymakers must navigate the tension between fueling critical technological growth and maintaining stable public borrowing costs to prevent a financial crisis.

    Read at CFR

  2. 2.
    2026-09-02 | europe | 2026-W36 | Topics: United States

    The article argues that while Ratko Mladić was convicted for the Srebrenica genocide, a second alleged campaign targeting Bosnian Muslims in six municipalities during 1992 is crucial to understanding his full criminal scope. Although the main trial judges acquitted him on the 1992 charge due to legal difficulties proving 'specific intent,' two dissenting appeals judges strongly argued that Mladić's high level of command and knowledge implied genocidal intent. This case highlights both the immense challenge in establishing genocide under international law—particularly proving specific intent—and underscores the critical importance of reviewing dissenting judicial opinions for setting future precedents in war crimes accountability.

    Read at CFR

  3. 3.
    2026-09-02 | europe | 2026-W36 | Topics: Climate, Europe, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Ukraine

    The Chatham House report argues that climate change represents Europe's greatest systemic security threat, citing recent extreme heatwaves, droughts, and wildfires that have caused massive economic losses, infrastructure failures, and excess deaths. These environmental shocks disrupt critical services (like energy supply) and increase vulnerability to non-conventional threats, forcing military resources to divert personnel away from traditional defense roles. To counter this, the report mandates a comprehensive security approach: treating climate adaptation as core national security spending, accelerating decarbonization to address root causes, and building robust societal resilience through coordinated civil preparedness.

    Read at Chatham House

  4. 4.
    2026-09-02 | middle_east | 2026-W36 | Topics: Europe, Middle East, Nuclear, United States

    Six months after the U.S.-Israel attack on Iran, experts conclude that Washington has suffered a strategic defeat due to underestimating Iran's resilience and capacity for resistance. The conflict has significantly heightened regional instability, fueling sophisticated online propaganda from Tehran that creates a dangerous content advantage for radicalization efforts against U.S. interests. Furthermore, the war is paradoxically benefiting Turkey, which is consolidating its power through new regional security agreements, thus reducing overall U.S. influence in the Middle East. Policymakers must urgently counter Iran's ideological warfare and prepare for a shifting balance of power that diminishes American hegemony.

    Read at CFR

  5. 5.
    2026-09-02 | economy | 2026-W36 | Topics: AI, China, Climate, Cybersecurity, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Trade, United States

    The widespread operational embedding of AI in global supply chains creates significant systemic dependencies on shared digital infrastructure, raising novel aggregation risks for the insurance market. These risks are not limited to model failure but stem from common vulnerabilities—such as shared cloud platforms or flawed models—that could simultaneously impact multiple seemingly independent firms. Policy implications require both operators and insurers to shift focus toward managing these interconnected weaknesses by establishing robust controls, including mandatory human oversight, detailed audit trails, and staged deployments. Insurers must update underwriting practices to map systemic technology dependencies across policyholders rather than treating AI exposure as a standalone risk.

    Read at RAND