The analysis argues that Iran's long-standing political and military influence in Iraq is rapidly diminishing due to internal shifts and growing Iraqi resentment over foreign interference. Key evidence includes prominent Iranian-backed militias beginning to disarm or integrate with state forces, signaling a loss of independent power and control within the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF). This shift suggests that Baghdad is prioritizing national sovereignty and centralizing authority, allowing Iraq to potentially pivot its economic and political alignment toward the wider Gulf region. The primary implication is that Iran will lose its ability to use Iraq as a stable staging ground for projecting regional power, significantly weakening its broader 'axis of resistance.'
How to Fight an Economic War
English Summary
The article argues that the era of mutual benefit through globalization is ending, giving way to intensifying economic warfare. Great powers are increasingly weaponizing economic tools—including tariffs, financial infrastructure, and supply chains—to exert coercion and leverage against rivals. This shift means that economic integration can no longer be viewed as purely beneficial, but rather as a source of potential subordination. Policymakers must therefore develop new strategies to navigate and counter these geopolitical economic threats.
中文摘要
本文論述，透過全球化實現互利共贏的時代正在終結，取而代之的是經濟戰的加劇。大國正日益將經濟工具——包括關稅、金融基礎設施和供應鏈——武器化，以對競爭對手施加強制性壓力與槓桿。這一轉變意味著，經濟整合已不能再被視為純粹有益，反而可能成為潛在的從屬地位來源。因此，政策制定者必須制定新的策略，以應對和抵禦這些地緣經濟威脅。
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