The China-Russia partnership is a highly consequential geopolitical alignment driven by a shared goal of countering U.S. hegemony and reshaping the international order into a multipolar system. While not a formal alliance, this relationship is strengthened by Russia's increasing economic reliance on China following Western sanctions, which allows Beijing to leverage its influence. Policymakers should note that while the partnership projects deep solidarity (as seen in high-level summits), it remains complex and limited by mutual mistrust and competing strategic interests. This enduring alignment poses a significant challenge to U.S. interests and requires continued diplomatic vigilance.
A Flawed Formula for Peace in Ukraine
English Summary
The article argues that the stalled peace negotiations in Ukraine are not due to external geopolitical distractions, but rather a fundamental flaw in the U.S.-designed peace framework. This flawed structure centers on a core bargain requiring Ukraine to cede significant territory, specifically nearly 20% of the Donbas/Kyiv-controlled areas, to Russia in exchange for peace. The reliance on such massive territorial concessions makes the proposed formula inherently unsustainable and politically unviable. Policymakers must recognize that any peace strategy built upon these concessions is fundamentally flawed and requires a complete diplomatic overhaul.
中文摘要
本文主張，烏克蘭停滯的和平談判並非源於外部地緣政治的干擾，而是美國設計的和平框架本身存在根本性缺陷。該有缺陷的結構核心要求烏克蘭割讓大量領土，特別是近20%的頓巴斯/基輔控制區域，作為換取和平的條件。這種依賴大規模領土讓步的模式，使其提出的方案本質上是不可持續且政治上不可行的。政策制定者必須認識到，任何建立在這些讓步基礎上的和平策略都是根本性有缺陷的，需要進行一次全面的外交修訂。
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