The analysis argues that Iran's long-standing political and military influence in Iraq is rapidly diminishing due to internal shifts and growing Iraqi resentment over foreign interference. Key evidence includes prominent Iranian-backed militias beginning to disarm or integrate with state forces, signaling a loss of independent power and control within the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF). This shift suggests that Baghdad is prioritizing national sovereignty and centralizing authority, allowing Iraq to potentially pivot its economic and political alignment toward the wider Gulf region. The primary implication is that Iran will lose its ability to use Iraq as a stable staging ground for projecting regional power, significantly weakening its broader 'axis of resistance.'
The Globalist Delusion
English Summary
The article identifies a fundamental shift in global governance, framing the current international environment as a clash between two operating systems. The first advocates for solving global issues through supranational institutions and multilateral rules, while the opposing view insists that the nation-state remains the sole foundation of legitimate authority and effective action. This suggests that the post-Cold War era's reliance on a 'global first' approach is giving way to a renewed emphasis on state sovereignty. Policymakers must therefore navigate the tension between necessary global cooperation and the inherent limitations and accountability of individual national governments.
中文摘要
本文指出全球治理正經歷一場根本性的轉變，將當前國際環境描繪為兩種運作系統的衝突。一方面主張透過超國家機構和多邊規則來解決全球問題；另一方面則堅持國家仍然是合法權威和有效行動的唯一基礎。這表明，後冷戰時期所依賴的「全球優先」思維，正在讓位給對國家主權的重新強調。因此，政策制定者必須在必要的全球合作與個別國家政府固有的局限性及問責制之間，巧妙地周旋與平衡。
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