The article argues that recent executive overreach and politicization have severely undermined established norms of U.S. civil-military relations. To restore professional standards, the incoming Congress must actively exercise its oversight powers, moving beyond mere criticism to demanding transparency in defense policy and personnel decisions. Key reforms include enforcing meritocratic promotion processes, requiring documented justification for senior officer removals, and preventing the partisan use of the military. These actions are crucial for bolstering public trust and ensuring the military remains a nonpartisan instrument of civilian control.
Iran Won the War but May Lose the Peace
English Summary
Although Iran emerged from recent conflict strengthened by its control over the Strait of Hormuz—which it views as an 'economic nuclear weapon'—the article argues that attempting to monetize or restrict passage risks undermining its long-term stability. Evidence suggests that imposing fees on global shipping will accelerate international efforts to find alternative maritime routes, thereby diminishing the deterrent value of the strait for future adversaries. Consequently, Iran must resist the temptation to punish rivals and instead adopt a conciliatory approach; overplaying its hand could jeopardize peace and make sustainable regional normalization impossible.
中文摘要
儘管伊朗近期從衝突中崛起,並因其對霍爾木茲海峽的控制力而顯得強大——它將此視為一種「經濟核武器」——但本文認為,試圖將其貨運帶入商業化或限制通過權利,反而有損其長期穩定性。證據顯示,若對全球航運徵收費用,將會加速國際社會尋找替代海上路線的努力,從而削弱該海峽對於未來敵對勢力的威懾價值。因此,伊朗必須抵制懲罰競爭者的誘惑,轉而採取和解(或:緩和)的姿態;過度展示自身力量可能會危及和平,使區域可持續正常化變得不可能。
Related Entries
-
1.
-
2.
The article argues that Donald Trump's unique and prolonged lame-duck period, coupled with domestic political pressures, makes him dangerously prone to international instability. Having exhausted major diplomatic gambits, Trump is expected to channel his energy into high-stakes, unilateral actions, primarily targeting adversaries such as Iran and Cuba. These potential actions—ranging from fresh strikes in the Persian Gulf to attempts at regime change—carry a significant risk of destabilizing regional security and triggering a global economic crisis. Policymakers must anticipate this pivot to high-risk foreign policy to mitigate potential international flare-ups.
-
3.
China's economic strategy is characterized by a persistent 'economics of denial,' prioritizing massive state-directed investment in advanced technology over addressing weak domestic consumption. This approach is rooted in a flawed belief that controlling physical capital will automatically generate productivity and wage growth, ignoring the structural imbalance where domestic demand consistently falls short of supply. This overinvestment and underconsumption model is unsustainable. Consequently, Beijing's policies will continue to generate global deflationary pressures and escalating trade friction, necessitating a fundamental pivot toward consumption-led growth for long-term stability.
-
4.
The Blue Wave signals significant voter frustration with cost of living and inflation, giving Congress a mandate to prioritize affordability and cost-reduction measures. Economically, the rapid build-out of AI data centers is creating localized stress, driving up skilled labor wages and straining resources, while also facing constraints from power grids and potential local regulatory backlash. Policymakers must manage this 'sequencing issue'—addressing rising costs before full productivity gains from AI can materialize—and anticipate shifts in global data center infrastructure as the market matures.
-
5.
The built environment workforce, comprising 15.3 million workers across 95 occupations, is foundational to modern infrastructure and economic stability. While highly paid, the workforce suffers from significant demographic imbalances, being disproportionately white and male, and often lacking clear career progression pathways. To prevent project delays and cost overruns, policy must mandate that capital asset owners treat labor market forecasting as core to project planning. Strategic interventions are required to strengthen career pipelines through robust apprenticeships, improve retention, and actively recruit younger and more diverse workers.