ThinkTankWeekly

Timebomb: When Ageing Explodes

Foreign Affairs | 2026-02-17 | economy

Topics: Europe

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English Summary

The article argues that rapid population aging presents a critical threat to global prosperity and social cohesion by straining public finances. This demographic shift increases the costs of healthcare, pensions, and eldercare, which are funded by a shrinking working-age tax base. To mitigate this fiscal crisis, policymakers must implement multi-pronged strategies, including boosting fertility rates through better social support and raising the retirement age. The text also highlights immigration as a potential solution, though cautioning that such policies must navigate potential political instability.

中文摘要

本文論述,快速的人口老齡化對全球繁榮和社會凝聚力構成重大威脅,主要體現在對公共財政的巨大壓力。這種人口結構轉變增加了醫療保健、養老金和長者照護的成本,而這些開支卻由不斷縮小的勞動年齡稅基來支持。為緩解這場財政危機,政策制定者必須實施多管齊下的策略,包括透過改善社會支持來提高生育率,以及提高退休年齡。文章亦強調了移民作為潛在的解決方案,但同時警告,相關政策必須謹慎應對潛在的政治不穩定性。

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