The analysis argues that Iran's long-standing political and military influence in Iraq is rapidly diminishing due to internal shifts and growing Iraqi resentment over foreign interference. Key evidence includes prominent Iranian-backed militias beginning to disarm or integrate with state forces, signaling a loss of independent power and control within the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF). This shift suggests that Baghdad is prioritizing national sovereignty and centralizing authority, allowing Iraq to potentially pivot its economic and political alignment toward the wider Gulf region. The primary implication is that Iran will lose its ability to use Iraq as a stable staging ground for projecting regional power, significantly weakening its broader 'axis of resistance.'
The Dream Palace of the West
English Summary
The analysis argues that the future trajectory of global order—whether it trends toward cooperation, fragmentation, or domination—will be determined by the actions of the Global South. It critiques Western powers for failing to engage in genuine dialogue, instead adopting a unilateral 'monologue' approach that is alienating the developing world. For the West to maintain influence, the publication stresses that it must urgently shift its strategy from imposing narratives to actively listening to and incorporating the needs and perspectives of the Global South. Failure to adapt this diplomatic approach risks undermining Western leadership and stability in the coming geopolitical era.
中文摘要
本分析指出，全球秩序的未來走向——無論是趨向合作、碎片化還是單方面支配——將取決於全球南方（Global South）的行動。文章批判西方大國未能進行真誠的對話，反而採取了單方面「獨白」式的做法，導致與發展中國家產生疏離。出版物強調，若西方要維持其影響力，必須緊急調整戰略，從強加既有敘事轉變為積極傾聽並納入全球南方對自身需求和視角的考量。若未能調整這種外交方式，將有損西方在未來地緣政治時代的領導地位與穩定性。
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