ThinkTankWeekly

Beyond Venezuela and Cuba: The U.S. Military’s Future Operations in the Western Hemisphere

CSIS | 2026-04-27 | americas

Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, Russia, Trade, United States, Americas

Visit original source

ThinkTankWeekly provides a curated entry and summary only. Full text and PDF remain on the publisher's website.

English Summary

The U.S. military's future focus in the Western Hemisphere is shifting from great power competition to combating transnational criminal organizations (TCOs), drug trafficking, and narco-terrorism. This pivot is evidenced by recent threat assessments that prioritize illicit border actors over state rivals, leading to increased joint military operations and intelligence sharing with regional allies. Strategically, the U.S. will continue to deepen military cooperation through joint training and counter-cartel campaigns. However, the article cautions that sustained success requires coupling these security efforts with broader diplomatic and economic initiatives to address local concerns regarding sovereignty and human rights.

中文摘要

美國軍方在西半球的未來重點正從大國競爭轉向應對跨國犯罪組織(TCOs)、毒品走私和毒品恐怖主義。這一轉變體現在近期威脅評估中,將非法邊境行為者置於國家競爭對手之上,從而導致與區域盟友進行了更頻繁的聯合軍事行動和情報共享。從戰略角度來看,美國將透過聯合訓練和反卡特爾行動深化軍事合作。然而,本文警告指出,要實現持續的成功,必須將這些安全努力與更廣泛的外交和經濟倡議結合起來,以解決當地對於主權和人權的擔憂。

Related Entries

  1. 1.

    The rapid financing of the AI boom through massive corporate debt issuance is creating significant stress on global financial markets. This influx of private capital forces competition with government Treasury bonds, as AI companies offer higher yields than equivalent sovereign debt, thereby pushing up long-term interest rates. While this signals strong investment demand for AI, it raises concerns about systemic risk and the potential destabilization of core bond markets. Policymakers must navigate the tension between fueling critical technological growth and maintaining stable public borrowing costs to prevent a financial crisis.

    Read at CFR

  2. 2.
    2026-09-02 | europe | 2026-W36 | Topics: United States

    The article argues that while Ratko Mladić was convicted for the Srebrenica genocide, a second alleged campaign targeting Bosnian Muslims in six municipalities during 1992 is crucial to understanding his full criminal scope. Although the main trial judges acquitted him on the 1992 charge due to legal difficulties proving 'specific intent,' two dissenting appeals judges strongly argued that Mladić's high level of command and knowledge implied genocidal intent. This case highlights both the immense challenge in establishing genocide under international law—particularly proving specific intent—and underscores the critical importance of reviewing dissenting judicial opinions for setting future precedents in war crimes accountability.

    Read at CFR

  3. 3.
    2026-09-02 | europe | 2026-W36 | Topics: Climate, Europe, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Ukraine

    The Chatham House report argues that climate change represents Europe's greatest systemic security threat, citing recent extreme heatwaves, droughts, and wildfires that have caused massive economic losses, infrastructure failures, and excess deaths. These environmental shocks disrupt critical services (like energy supply) and increase vulnerability to non-conventional threats, forcing military resources to divert personnel away from traditional defense roles. To counter this, the report mandates a comprehensive security approach: treating climate adaptation as core national security spending, accelerating decarbonization to address root causes, and building robust societal resilience through coordinated civil preparedness.

    Read at Chatham House

  4. 4.
    2026-09-02 | africa | 2026-W36 | Topics: Europe

    The Chatham House analysis argues that for Zambia to sustain its economic reforms and attract vital foreign investment, President Hichilema must prioritize preserving democratic institutions during the upcoming election. While macroeconomic stabilization has restored international confidence, political legitimacy hinges on a credible electoral process, as voters are yet to feel the benefits of abstract financial rehabilitation. Consequently, international allies are advised to act as 'critical friends,' ensuring that their support for economic stability is consistently coupled with demands for institutional integrity and democratic restraint. This balanced approach is vital to prevent authoritarian drift from undermining Zambia's foundational political capital.

    Read at Chatham House

  5. 5.
    2026-09-02 | middle_east | 2026-W36 | Topics: Europe, Middle East, Nuclear, United States

    Six months after the U.S.-Israel attack on Iran, experts conclude that Washington has suffered a strategic defeat due to underestimating Iran's resilience and capacity for resistance. The conflict has significantly heightened regional instability, fueling sophisticated online propaganda from Tehran that creates a dangerous content advantage for radicalization efforts against U.S. interests. Furthermore, the war is paradoxically benefiting Turkey, which is consolidating its power through new regional security agreements, thus reducing overall U.S. influence in the Middle East. Policymakers must urgently counter Iran's ideological warfare and prepare for a shifting balance of power that diminishes American hegemony.

    Read at CFR