The China-Russia partnership is a highly consequential geopolitical alignment driven by a shared goal of countering U.S. hegemony and reshaping the international order into a multipolar system. While not a formal alliance, this relationship is strengthened by Russia's increasing economic reliance on China following Western sanctions, which allows Beijing to leverage its influence. Policymakers should note that while the partnership projects deep solidarity (as seen in high-level summits), it remains complex and limited by mutual mistrust and competing strategic interests. This enduring alignment poses a significant challenge to U.S. interests and requires continued diplomatic vigilance.
Can the deal between US and Iran become a lasting settlement?
English Summary
The analyst views the announced US-Iran deal as a fragile, temporary measure rather than a lasting settlement because it fails to address the core causes of conflict or resolve major outstanding issues like Iran's nuclear program. While reopening the Strait of Hormuz is welcome, true stability requires comprehensive negotiations that move beyond bilateral talks and incorporate regional stakeholders (e.g., China, Arab states). For the deal to endure, diplomatic efforts must adopt a multi-layered approach focused on building confidence among all parties and establishing clear structures for accountability and long-term support.
中文摘要
分析師認為，宣布的美伊協議僅為一種脆弱、臨時性的措施，而非持久的解決方案，因為它未能處理衝突的核心根源，也未解決伊朗核計畫等重大懸而未決的問題。雖然重新開放霍爾木茲海峽是可喜的進展，但真正的穩定需要超越雙邊會談的全面性協商，並納入區域參與者（例如中國、阿拉伯國家）。若要使該協議得以持續，外交努力必須採取多層次的方法，重點在於建立各方之間的信任，並確立明確的問責機制和長期支持結構。
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