The China-Russia partnership is a highly consequential geopolitical alignment driven by a shared goal of countering U.S. hegemony and reshaping the international order into a multipolar system. While not a formal alliance, this relationship is strengthened by Russia's increasing economic reliance on China following Western sanctions, which allows Beijing to leverage its influence. Policymakers should note that while the partnership projects deep solidarity (as seen in high-level summits), it remains complex and limited by mutual mistrust and competing strategic interests. This enduring alignment poses a significant challenge to U.S. interests and requires continued diplomatic vigilance.
Trump Should Take the U.S. Military’s Warning on Iran Seriously
English Summary
Max Boot argues that the Trump administration must heed military warnings regarding the high risks of a sustained conflict with Iran, which poses far greater dangers than previous limited strikes. Key concerns include potential Iranian attacks on regional oil infrastructure, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and a critical depletion of U.S. precision-guided munitions required for other global theaters like China and Russia. Additionally, the author notes that extended naval deployments are straining military readiness while a lack of regional ally support complicates any exit strategy. Consequently, a prolonged conflict could severely weaken U.S. strategic posture and global economic stability without guaranteed regime concessions.
中文摘要
Max Boot 主張川普政府必須聽取軍方警告，關注與伊朗持續衝突的高風險，其危險程度遠超以往的有限打擊。主要擔憂包括伊朗可能攻擊區域石油基礎設施、封鎖荷姆茲海峽，以及美國精確導引彈藥的嚴重枯竭，而這些彈藥對應對中國和俄羅斯等全球其他戰區至關重要。此外，作者指出，延長的海軍部署正消耗軍事準備能力，且缺乏區域盟友支持使退出策略更趨複雜。因此，一場持久衝突可能在無法確保政權讓步的情況下，嚴重削弱美國的戰略態勢及全球經濟穩定。
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