ThinkTankWeekly

A Conversation With Rahm Emanuel

CFR | 2026-05-04 | middle_east

Topics: China, Europe, Indo-Pacific, Middle East, NATO, Nuclear, Russia, Taiwan, Trade, Ukraine, United States

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English Summary

Emanuel argues that America's internal political divisions and systemic failures are its greatest strategic vulnerability, potentially overshadowing geopolitical challenges like China. Regarding the Middle East, he labels the current conflict with Iran a 'war of choice' and outlines a multi-phase strategy to stabilize the region. This plan involves immediately ensuring the free passage through the Strait of Hormuz, followed by establishing UN oversight and redefining the Abraham Accords. Ultimately, the U.S. must leverage these accords as a financing and infrastructure vehicle to bypass the Strait, thereby undermining Iran's regional leverage and securing long-term economic stability.

中文摘要

伊曼紐爾(Emanuel)認為,美國內部的政治分歧和系統性缺陷是其最大的戰略弱點,甚至可能掩蓋掉像中國這樣的地緣政治挑戰。關於中東地區,他將當前與伊朗的衝突定性為一場「選擇性戰爭」,並勾勒出一個多階段的穩定區域戰略。該計畫包括立即確保霍爾木茲海峽的暢通,隨後建立聯合國的監督機制,並重新定義《亞伯拉罕協議》。最終,美國必須利用這些協議作為資金和基礎設施的載體,繞過海峽,從而削弱伊朗的區域影響力,確保長期的經濟穩定。

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