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Taiwan’s Political Polarization Is Playing Into China’s Hands

CFR | 2026-04-27 | china_indopacific

Topics: AI, China, Middle East, Nuclear, Taiwan, Trade, Ukraine, United States, Indo-Pacific

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English Summary

Taiwan's progress in building defense resilience and leveraging its status as a tech superpower is being undermined by deep political polarization. While the island has enhanced its military readiness and economic ties with the U.S., the inability to pass a special defense budget due to internal political disputes creates a critical vulnerability. This impasse allows China to exert pressure, making it difficult for Taiwan to maintain deterrence and invest in necessary defense capabilities. Strategically, Taiwan must prioritize internal political consensus to fund its defense and resilience efforts, thereby eliminating coercion as a viable option for Beijing and forcing dialogue.

中文摘要

台灣在建立國防韌性及利用科技強國地位方面的進展,正受到深刻的政治兩極化所削弱。儘管台灣已提升軍事戰備和與美國的經濟聯繫,但由於內部政治爭議導致無法通過特別國防預算,形成了一個關鍵的脆弱點。這種僵局使得中國能夠施加壓力,令台灣難以維持嚇阻能力並投入必要的國防建設。從戰略角度來看,台灣必須優先建立內部政治共識,以資助其國防與韌性建設,從而消除北京的威脅選項,迫使其進入對話。

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