The article argues that recent executive overreach and politicization have severely undermined established norms of U.S. civil-military relations. To restore professional standards, the incoming Congress must actively exercise its oversight powers, moving beyond mere criticism to demanding transparency in defense policy and personnel decisions. Key reforms include enforcing meritocratic promotion processes, requiring documented justification for senior officer removals, and preventing the partisan use of the military. These actions are crucial for bolstering public trust and ensuring the military remains a nonpartisan instrument of civilian control.
China, Not Europe, is the Source of the World’s Imbalances
English Summary
The article argues that major international organizations (IMF/OECD) are presenting a misleading picture of global imbalances by relying on flawed statistical methodologies for both China and Europe. Key evidence highlights that China's true current account surplus is significantly larger than reported, due to questionable adjustments in its balance of payments data and an underestimated investment income surplus. Furthermore, European data must be adjusted for Ireland’s massive profit-shifting impact from US multinationals, which artificially inflates the goods/services surplus. Policymakers must demand that international bodies adopt more rigorous, transparent accounting methods—such as using customs trade balances or netting out distortions—to accurately assess global savings and investment imbalances.
中文摘要
本文論點指出,主要國際組織(如國際貨幣基金組織/經濟合作暨發展組織)在評估全球失衡時,依賴於針對中國和歐洲的統計方法論存在缺陷,從而呈現了誤導性的圖景。關鍵證據顯示,由於其國際收支數據中可疑的調整以及低估的投資收入盈餘,中國真實的經常帳盈餘遠超報告數值。此外,歐盟的數據必須根據愛爾蘭來自美國跨國企業的大量利潤轉移影響進行修正,否則會人為地誇大商品/服務品剩餘額。政策制定者應要求國際機構採用更嚴謹、透明的會計方法——例如使用海關貿易平衡或抵銷扭曲因素——以準確評估全球儲蓄與投資失衡。
Related Entries
-
1.
-
2.
The article argues that Donald Trump's unique and prolonged lame-duck period, coupled with domestic political pressures, makes him dangerously prone to international instability. Having exhausted major diplomatic gambits, Trump is expected to channel his energy into high-stakes, unilateral actions, primarily targeting adversaries such as Iran and Cuba. These potential actions—ranging from fresh strikes in the Persian Gulf to attempts at regime change—carry a significant risk of destabilizing regional security and triggering a global economic crisis. Policymakers must anticipate this pivot to high-risk foreign policy to mitigate potential international flare-ups.
-
3.
China's economic strategy is characterized by a persistent 'economics of denial,' prioritizing massive state-directed investment in advanced technology over addressing weak domestic consumption. This approach is rooted in a flawed belief that controlling physical capital will automatically generate productivity and wage growth, ignoring the structural imbalance where domestic demand consistently falls short of supply. This overinvestment and underconsumption model is unsustainable. Consequently, Beijing's policies will continue to generate global deflationary pressures and escalating trade friction, necessitating a fundamental pivot toward consumption-led growth for long-term stability.
-
4.
The Blue Wave signals significant voter frustration with cost of living and inflation, giving Congress a mandate to prioritize affordability and cost-reduction measures. Economically, the rapid build-out of AI data centers is creating localized stress, driving up skilled labor wages and straining resources, while also facing constraints from power grids and potential local regulatory backlash. Policymakers must manage this 'sequencing issue'—addressing rising costs before full productivity gains from AI can materialize—and anticipate shifts in global data center infrastructure as the market matures.
-
5.
The built environment workforce, comprising 15.3 million workers across 95 occupations, is foundational to modern infrastructure and economic stability. While highly paid, the workforce suffers from significant demographic imbalances, being disproportionately white and male, and often lacking clear career progression pathways. To prevent project delays and cost overruns, policy must mandate that capital asset owners treat labor market forecasting as core to project planning. Strategic interventions are required to strengthen career pipelines through robust apprenticeships, improve retention, and actively recruit younger and more diverse workers.