The article argues that recent executive overreach and politicization have severely undermined established norms of U.S. civil-military relations. To restore professional standards, the incoming Congress must actively exercise its oversight powers, moving beyond mere criticism to demanding transparency in defense policy and personnel decisions. Key reforms include enforcing meritocratic promotion processes, requiring documented justification for senior officer removals, and preventing the partisan use of the military. These actions are crucial for bolstering public trust and ensuring the military remains a nonpartisan instrument of civilian control.
The AI Panic Is Producing Terrible Tax Ideas
English Summary
The article argues that calls for new taxes on AI or computing power are based on flawed economic premises, specifically the false narrative of labor losing to capital. Empirical evidence contradicts this panic, showing that technology generally complements work by enhancing productivity rather than simply replacing it. Furthermore, implementing a compute tax would be economically damaging because taxing intermediate inputs raises costs across all final goods and slows down the necessary investment required for wage growth. Policymakers should therefore avoid distorting capital markets with new taxes and instead focus on improving existing tax structures to ensure supernormal returns are fully captured.
中文摘要
本文論證，呼籲對人工智慧或運算能力徵收新稅的基礎是錯誤的經濟前提，特別是基於「勞動敗給資本」的虛假敘事。實證證據反駁了這種恐慌，顯示技術通常透過提升生產力來輔助工作，而非單純地取代工作。此外，實施運算稅在經濟上將產生損害，因為對中間投入品課稅會提高所有最終商品的成本，並減緩 wage growth 所必需的投資。因此，政策制定者應避免用新稅扭曲資本市場，而應專注於改善現有的稅制結構，以確保超額回報（supernormal returns）能夠得到充分捕捉。
Related Entries
-
1.
-
2.
The article argues that Donald Trump's unique and prolonged lame-duck period, coupled with domestic political pressures, makes him dangerously prone to international instability. Having exhausted major diplomatic gambits, Trump is expected to channel his energy into high-stakes, unilateral actions, primarily targeting adversaries such as Iran and Cuba. These potential actions—ranging from fresh strikes in the Persian Gulf to attempts at regime change—carry a significant risk of destabilizing regional security and triggering a global economic crisis. Policymakers must anticipate this pivot to high-risk foreign policy to mitigate potential international flare-ups.
-
3.
The Blue Wave signals significant voter frustration with cost of living and inflation, giving Congress a mandate to prioritize affordability and cost-reduction measures. Economically, the rapid build-out of AI data centers is creating localized stress, driving up skilled labor wages and straining resources, while also facing constraints from power grids and potential local regulatory backlash. Policymakers must manage this 'sequencing issue'—addressing rising costs before full productivity gains from AI can materialize—and anticipate shifts in global data center infrastructure as the market matures.
-
4.
The built environment workforce, comprising 15.3 million workers across 95 occupations, is foundational to modern infrastructure and economic stability. While highly paid, the workforce suffers from significant demographic imbalances, being disproportionately white and male, and often lacking clear career progression pathways. To prevent project delays and cost overruns, policy must mandate that capital asset owners treat labor market forecasting as core to project planning. Strategic interventions are required to strengthen career pipelines through robust apprenticeships, improve retention, and actively recruit younger and more diverse workers.
-
5.
The U.S. is drastically reducing core funding to multilateral institutions, withdrawing from numerous bodies due to perceived misalignment with national interests. While multilateral channels offer critical advantages—such as pooling resources for global public goods and managing risk in fragile settings—the U.S.'s funding remains heavily 'earmarked,' which effectively 'bilateralizes' the system and undermines shared burden-sharing. This practice, coupled with deep cuts, diminishes the multilateral system's effectiveness and efficiency, particularly in humanitarian aid. Policy recommendations suggest the U.S. must adopt a systematic, published strategy for aid channel choice and shift from restrictive project-level earmarking to broader thematic funding to restore global cooperation.