The rapid financing of the AI boom through massive corporate debt issuance is creating significant stress on global financial markets. This influx of private capital forces competition with government Treasury bonds, as AI companies offer higher yields than equivalent sovereign debt, thereby pushing up long-term interest rates. While this signals strong investment demand for AI, it raises concerns about systemic risk and the potential destabilization of core bond markets. Policymakers must navigate the tension between fueling critical technological growth and maintaining stable public borrowing costs to prevent a financial crisis.
Offset Emergency Spending
English Summary
The article argues that Congress frequently exploits the 'emergency designation' loophole to bypass fiscal rules, leading to over $12.5 trillion in un-offset spending since 1991. It highlights that while countries like Switzerland and Germany successfully use 'debt brakes' to repay emergency borrowing, the US has seen its debt-to-GDP ratio surge due to a lack of similar enforcement mechanisms. To achieve fiscal sustainability, the author recommends adopting binding constraints that track and offset emergency spending through automatic, across-the-board reductions over a multi-year period.
中文摘要
本文指出,美國國會頻繁利用「緊急撥款」(emergency designation)漏洞規避財政規則,導致自 1991 年以來未經抵銷的支出超過 12.5 兆美元。報告強調,雖然瑞士與德國等國成功利用「債務剎車」(debt brakes)機制償還緊急借款,但美國因缺乏類似的執行機制,其債務佔國內生產總值(GDP)的比率持續攀升。為實現財政永續性,作者建議採納具約束力的限制措施,透過多年期的自動化全面削減,追蹤並抵銷緊急支出。
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