The article argues that Donald Trump's unique and prolonged lame-duck period, coupled with domestic political pressures, makes him dangerously prone to international instability. Having exhausted major diplomatic gambits, Trump is expected to channel his energy into high-stakes, unilateral actions, primarily targeting adversaries such as Iran and Cuba. These potential actions—ranging from fresh strikes in the Persian Gulf to attempts at regime change—carry a significant risk of destabilizing regional security and triggering a global economic crisis. Policymakers must anticipate this pivot to high-risk foreign policy to mitigate potential international flare-ups.
Investing in Africa’s growing young population for prosperity
English Summary
Africa's working-age population is projected to reach 2.5 billion by 2050, presenting a critical opportunity to harness a demographic dividend through strategic investment in its 830 million youth. Despite gains in school enrollment, high rates of learning poverty and a lack of STEM competencies threaten to leave a generation ill-equipped for the 21st-century labor market. To ensure prosperity, policymakers must prioritize early childhood health, improve foundational education quality, and foster a dynamic economic environment supported by stable governance. Successful transformation depends on matching individual competencies with state systems that can generate high-quality jobs and resist external shocks.
中文摘要
預計到2050年，非洲的勞動年齡人口將達到25億，這為透過對8.3億青年進行戰略投資來充分利用人口紅利提供了關鍵機會。儘管入學率有所提高，但高企的學習貧窮率和STEM（科學、技術、工程和數學）技能的匱乏，可能導致一代人難以適應21世紀的勞動市場。為確保繁榮，政策制定者必須優先考慮幼兒健康，提高基礎教育質量，並創造一個由穩定治理支撐的充滿活力的經濟環境。成功的轉型取決於將個人能力與能夠創造高品質就業機會並抵禦外部衝擊的國家體系相匹配。
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